Hump Day Fare Hacks: December 28, 2016

Norwegian Index for December 28, 2016: 246.2

The past few years have seen – anecdotally speaking – a massive influx of low-cost transatlantic flights into various air travel markets. With that in mind, I decided that it might be interesting to see what an “average” price for these particular transatlantic flight deals might be. That’s how the Norwegian Index was born.

If you’ve followed Hump Day Fare Hacks, there’s a good chance that you’ve seen the Norwegian Index trend downward throughout the year. It’s fitting, then, that the Index set a new record low in its final iteration of 2016. I’ll leave you to look at the fares, as they speak for themselves.

Note: All routes profiled are based on a 7-day round trip (departing and arriving the same day a week apart), unless otherwise noted. That said, I strongly encourage you to play with a variety of dates and trip lengths and see what you can find.

 

BOSTON

 

Boston – Copenhagen

Leave on:

  • April 4, 2017 (return April 13, 2017)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $266

Thoughts: This may be just a single date in 2017, but the price is good enough that it may be worth taking advantage of.

 

Boston – London Gatwick

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 23, 25, 29, 30

  • February (2017) 6, 8, 13

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $260

Thoughts: By far the lowest that this has been.

 

Boston – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 15-20, 22-27, 29-31

  • February (2017) 1-3, 6-10, 12-15, 20-24, 26-28

  • March (2017) 1-3, 5-9, 13-17, 19-23

Carriers: Delta Air Lines, Virgin Atlantic Airways
Price: $473

Thoughts: The SkyTeam members are offering identical, sub-$500 fares.

 

Boston – Oslo

Leave on:

  • April (2017) 3, 10 (return April 11, 18)

  • May (2017) 1, 8 (return May 9, 16)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $254

Thoughts: Not the lowest it’s ever been, but certainly “up there” (or, perhaps, down there).

 

Boston – Paris

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 15-20, 22-24, 26, 27, 29-31

  • February (2017) 2, 3, 5-7, 9-10, 12-14, 20, 21, 23, 25, 26-28

  • March (2017) 1, 2, 5-8, 13, 14, 16, 17, 19-24, 26-31

  • April (2017) 2-7, 9-11, 19-21, 23-28, 30

  • May (2017) 1-5, 7, 8

Carriers: Air France, Delta Air Lines
Price: $425

Thoughts: As a route that usually goes for well north of $500, this one came out of left field.

 

NEW YORK

 

New York JFK – Barcelona

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 26-29, 31

  • February (2017) 2-5, 7, 9, 14

Carrier: American Airlines
Price: $376

Thoughts: Cheap cheap cheap cheap cheap.

 

New York JFK – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 15-31

  • February (2017) 1, 2, 4-15, 19-28

  • March (2017) 1-23

Carriers: Delta Air Lines, Virgin Atlantic Airways
Price: $473

Thoughts: Same prices as DL and VS are offering on BOS-LHR.

 

New York JFK – Milan

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 17, 18, 24, 25, 31

  • February (2017) 1, 7, 8, 14, 15, 21, 22, 28

  • March (2017) 1, 7, 8, 14, 15, 21, 22, 28, 29

  • April (2017) 4, 11, 12, 19, 25, 26

  • May (2017) 2, 3, 10

Carriers: Alitalia, Delta Air Lines, Emirates
Price: $496

Thoughts: Sub-$500 Emirates flights don’t come along every day! (Oh, and Alitalia and Delta operate this route, too.)

 

New York JFK – Oslo

Leave on:

  • March (2017) 3, 23

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $203

Thoughts: Giving the JFK-ARN all-time low a run for its money, no pun intended.

 

New York JFK – Stockholm

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 16, 18, 20, 21, 23, 25, 27, 28, 30

  • February (2017) 1, 3, 4, 27

  • March (2017) 1, 24

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $248

Thoughts: The fact that a $248 fare on JFK-ARN isn’t considered unusual says a lot.

Hump Day Fare Hacks: December 21, 2016

Norwegian Index for December 21, 2017: 269.0

While this week didn’t hit any records in terms of lowest fares, there were a number of big surprises across the board. Perhaps the biggest is that Norwegian flights from both Boston and New York to Copenhagen are selling for less than $300 round trip. Of the three major European destinations (the other two being London Gatwick and Oslo) that are served by Norwegian from both Boston and New York, I would have guessed that Copenhagen was the least likely to break the $300 mark. Then again, I wouldn’t have guessed that BOS-MAD would still be going for below $400, either. Either way, all flights listed are below $500 round trip, so these are opportunities worth exploring!

Note: All routes profiled are based on a 7-day round trip (departing and arriving the same day a week apart), unless otherwise noted. That said, I strongly encourage you to play with a variety of dates and trip lengths and see what you can find.

BOSTON

Boston – Copenhagen

Leave on:

  • April (2017) 4, 11, 25 (return April 13, 20, and May 4)
  • May (2017) 2, 9, 16 (return May 11, 18, 25)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $279

Thoughts: Of the three Norwegian routes in Boston, I figured this was the least likely to break $300. Shows how much I know.

Boston – Frankfurt

Leave on:

  • April (2017) 5, 11, 20, 24-30
  • May (2017) 1-3

Carrier: Lufthansa
Price: $495

Thoughts: This route has hovered around $500 in recent times, but I certainly didn’t see this one coming.

Boston – London Gatwick

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 22, 25, 27, 29
  • February (2017) 1, 5, 6, 8, 12, 13

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $303

Thoughts: The low-water mark for this route. Could it break $300?

Boston – Madrid

Leave on:

  • March (2017) 6, 16, 20, 27, 29

Carrier: Iberia
Price: $381

Thoughts: I still don’t get how this one is so cheap.

Boston – Oslo

Leave on:

  • March 27, 2015 (return April 4)
  • April (2017) 10, 24 (return April 18 and May 2)
  • May 1, 2017 (return May 9, 2017)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $286

Thoughts: Beat out by CPH this week, but still running very cheap.

NEW YORK

New York JFK – Barcelona

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 17, 20, 21, 24, 26-29, 31
  • February (2017) 2-5, 7, 14, 20

Carrier: American Airlines
Price: $376

Thoughts: Considering this is a legacy carrier, this is on the verge of exceptional.

New York JFK – Copenhagen

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 16, 20, 23, 25, 27, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 6, 8, 17, 20, 22, 24, 27
  • March (2017) 1, 6, 8 13, 15, 22

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $239

Thoughts: This seems to be Copenhagen’s week.

New York JFK – Helsinki

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 17-31
  • February (2017) 1-7, 12-16, 19-24, 27, 28
  • March (2017) 2, 3, 6-10, 13-17, 20-24

Carrier: Finnair
Price: $401

Thoughts: Out of left field.

New York JFK – Oslo

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 17, 26, 29, 31
  • February (2017) 2, 3, 5, 7, 28
  • March (2017) 21, 23, 26

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $263

Thoughts: This seems a bit more “normal” than the low of two weeks ago. Still fits in the bargain category.

New York JFK – Stockholm

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 18, 20, 21, 23, 25, 27, 28, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 4, 6, 10, 22, 24, 27
  • March (2017) 1, 6, 8, 17, 24, 26

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $244

Thoughts: It’s not as cheap as it’s been in the past, but still a bargain.

The Norwegian Effect: How NAX is a flight price game changer

If you’ve followed Hump Day Fare Hacks, you’ll know that I’ve begun tabulating the Norwegian Index, which is the average price (expressed in dollars) of all the Norwegian Air Shuttle flights profiled in a given week. And though it may seem to be a somewhat confusing metric, its ultimate purpose is to display the median price of low-cost transatlantic flights between the U.S. and Europe. Of course, it’s not an exact science, but it does give a relatively good indication of where the market is at.

What it doesn’t reflect, however, is the impact that low-cost carriers like Norwegian are having on the transatlantic market as a whole.

As this USA Today article points out, British Airways recently added three new U.S. destinations to its long-haul route network: Ft. Lauderdale, New Orleans, and Oakland. And while the new service between London Heathrow and the Louisiana city is indeed a revival of a former route flown by the carrier, albeit one involving London’s Gatwick Airport that flew in decades past, that had significant potential for tourism, the other two were seen to be very much competitive counterplays – assumptions that were confirmed by Willie Walsh, the CEO of International Airlines Group (IAG) which owns BA.

That counterplay was indeed a strategic calculation to Norwegian’s presence on both the LGW-FLL and LGW-OAK routes. Walsh said that, initially, Norwegian wasn’t seen to be a veritable competitor to legacy carriers in the transatlantic space, noting that, a decade ago, there was significant debate over whether passengers would want to fly on a “no-frills” airline for more than four hours. Summarily, Walsh explained that the answer is a veritable yes, saying that “[Norwegian has] clearly been able to demonstrate that there is a market there [and] we’re responding competitively.”

The last part of Walsh’s statement is perhaps the most poignant part. It should be noted that while BA already serves South Florida (MIA-LHR) and the Bay Area (SFO-LHR), its foray into Ft. Lauderdale and Oakland means that the British flag carrier is entering new cities, underscoring that Norwegian is no longer being seen as a flash-in-the-pan as far as transatlantic competition is concerned in particular cities where BA doesn’t currently have a presence.

Yet that’s not the end of the story: it appears that Norwegian’s impact goes even further, as it has forced BA’s hand in cities where the carrier already has service. For example, Norwegian’s five times weekly BOS-LGW route pales in comparison to BA’s three BOS-LHR flights per day. However, the introduction of Norwegian has decreased BA’s dominance in a very competitive transatlantic market – one which also features Delta Air Lines and Virgin Atlantic Airways. As I profiled this summer, BA is planning to  introduce the  Airbus A380 on its BOS-LHR route starting next March, which will likely – all other things equal – increase supply and drive down prices even further. Of course, there are likely a number of reasons that BA’s fares have fallen on this particular route – Brexit, low fuel costs, the introduction of the Boeing 787-900 Dreamliner on a rotation, and so on – and there are a likely a number of additional factors that have motivated BA to bring the A380 to Boston, many of which I examined. Yet I think Boston is an excellent example of the impact Norwegian has had on BA fares.

Additionally, there’s the element of ticket prices. Anecdotally speaking, BA has decreased prices across the board in the past six months or so. And while Brexit, falling fuel costs, and increasingly efficient aircraft are all likely playing important roles in this development, it would also appear that Norwegian’s ability to offer fares for extremely low prices is having perhaps the biggest impact.

Much like the way that Southwest and jetBlue have had veritable effects on the prices of domestic flights, Norwegian – through increasing competition in markets which weren’t extremely competitive – has seemingly helped to drive down the price of transatlantic flights. Yet although the carrier has endured significant scrutiny in its efforts to start new routes due to myriad factors, I don’t think any of us travelers can complain about cheaper transatlantic flights.

Hump Day Fare Hacks: November 2, 2016

Norwegian Index for November 2, 2016: 300.0

The Norwegian Index is up, but prices across the Hump Day Fare Hacks board are down. Headlined by the cheapest Boston to London Heathrow flight I’ve ever seen at $460 round trip on British Airways, this week features a number of exceptional legacy deals. More impressive flights profiled this week Delta Air Lines and KLM offering JFK-AMS for $437, BOS-ZRH on Swiss Airlines for $448, and United Airlines selling EWR-SNN for $456.

Hump Day Fare Hacks will be going on hiatus for a bit, as I travel to China in three days (yikes!), but I fully intend to return to blogging after I get back! Who knows – maybe fares will plummet even more in that time.

Note: All routes profiled are based on a 7-day round trip (departing and arriving the same day a week apart), unless otherwise noted. That said, I strongly encourage you to play with a variety of dates and trip lengths and see what you can find.

BOSTON

Boston – Copenhagen

Leave on:

  • April (2017) 4, 11, 18, 25

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $317

Thoughts: Supah wicked cheap, guy!

Boston – London Gatwick

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 16, 18, 20, 22, 23, 25, 27, 29, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 13, 26, 27
  • March (2017) 1, 6, 15

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $325

Thoughts: A pretty exceptional price, but while the face value is lower you will get more with the fare listed immediately below – I may be slightly biased. However, if you travel light and plan on bringing your own food/water/etc., then this may be the deal for you.

Boston – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • November 30
  • December 1-14, 29, 31
  • January (2017) 2-6, 8-31
  • February (2017) 1-16, 19-28
  • March 1-24

Carrier: British Airways
Price: $460

Thoughts: When BOS-LHR went below $500 a while ago – being priced at $499.96 – I thought that was for sure the low-water mark, as it was known to hover around $500-$501. This, however, was totally unexpected, and I must say that $460 for a non stop between these two cities – on a four-star airline like British Airways – is truly remarkable and an excellent value.

Boston – Oslo

Leave on:

  • March 27, 2017 (return April 4, 2017)
  • April 24, 2017 (return May 2, 2017)
  • May 22, 2017 (return May 30, 2017)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $294

Thoughts: Same low fares as last week, which means that this is still an exceptional price.

Boston – Zurich

Leave on:

  • April (2017) 8-11, 18, 19, 23-27, 29, 30
  • May (2017) 1-4, 6-10

Carrier: Swiss Airlines
Price: $448

Thoughts: It’s funny – this route goes for well in excess of $1,000 during the winter, but is less than $500 during the spring? #logic

NEW YORK

New York JFK – Amsterdam

Leave on:

  • March (2017) 28-31

Carriers: Delta Air Lines, KLM
Price: $437

Thoughts: What I didn’t include here is that – for just a dollar more – there are significantly more dates available on this route during the winter. However, this is certainly the low-water mark, so get it while you can!

Newark – Manchester

Leave on:

  • January 31, 2017
  • February (2017) 1-10, 12-18, 21-28
  • March (2017) 1-8, 10-22

Carriers: United Airlines
Price: $517

Thoughts: For the first time in recent memory, flights from New York to Manchester are cheaper than anything between New York and London Heathrow. (Puzzled face).

New York JFK – Oslo

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 13, 17, 19, 24
  • February 7, 2017

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $282

Thoughts: $15 off of last week and a match for JFK-ARN. Could this fare overtake (in the downward direction) the aforementioned route? Watch this space.

Newark – Shannon

Leave on:

  • November 25, 28, 30
  • December 2, 5, 7, 9, 12, 14
  • January (2017) 6, 9, 11, 13, 20, 23, 25, 27, 30
  • February (2017) 3, 6, 10, 13, 24
  • March (2017) 1, 3, 6, 8, 15

Carrier: United Airlines
Price: $456

Thoughts: If either major Irish destination from the U.S. breaks $500, it’s usually Shannon rather than Dublin. Even so, this is still exceptionally low.

New York JFK – Stockholm

Leave on:

  • February (2017) 3, 6

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $282

Thoughts: $2 down from last week, and with another available date. Expect both of those metrics to continue to move in a positive direction.

Hump Day Fare Hacks: October 26, 2016

Norwegian Index for October 26, 2016: 299.3

The Norwegian Index increased a bit this week, but still remains under 300. That said, I’m confident that there will be an expansion of dates and a lowering of median fares on a variety of transatlantic routes in the near future.

The New York to Tokyo deal is pretty exceptional, especially considering Tokyo is normally a pretty expensive city. It was also nice to see that BOS-OSL – and its low fares – will be back next spring. Even so, I think the $484 BOS-LIS deal is absolutely exceptional on an already cheap route, and I’m extremely curious to see how long it sticks around.

Note: All routes profiled are based on a 7-day round trip (departing and arriving the same day a week apart), unless otherwise noted. That said, I strongly encourage you to play with a variety of dates and trip lengths and see what you can find.

BOSTON

Boston – Lisbon

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 25-27
  • February (2017) 2, 6, 8, 13, 23, 27
  • March (2017) 6, 16, 27, 28

Carrier: TAP Portugal
Price: $484

Thoughts: The low-water mark on this route. Get it while you can.

Boston – London Gatwick

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 16, 18, 20, 22, 23, 25, 27, 29, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 13, 22, 24, 26, 27
  • March (2017) 1, 6, 8, 15, 19, 20

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $324

Thoughts: An identical price to last week, and a still-exceptional range of dates.

Boston – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • November 23, 24, 26, 28-30
  • December 1-4, 6-9, 11, 12, 31
  • January (2017) 5, 6, 9-21, 26, 28
  • February (2017) 10-12, 21, 23, 24
  • March (2017) 2, 9, 11, 16, 18

Carrier: British Airways
Price: $501

Thoughts: There are also various dates in the spring where Delta is selling this route for $501 as well. And while I’m too lazy to differentiate between them, as they’re few and far between, perhaps the fact that more than one carrier is charging the same price is an indication of a change in the BOS-LHR market.

Boston – Oslo

Leave on:

  • March 27, 2017 (return April 4, 2017)
  • April 24, 2017 (return May 2, 2017)
  • May 22, 2017 (return May 30, 2017)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $292

Thoughts: Norwegian will resume its seasonal BOS-OSL service next spring, and low fares are back.

Boston – Zurich

Leave on:

  • April (2017) 7-11, 19, 23-27, 90, 30
  • May (2017) 1-4, 6-10

Carrier: Swiss Airlines
Price: $448

Thoughts: While I’ve seen a few low Swiss fares, they don’t usually last, and they’ve – in my observation – never been this low, which makes this even more incredible.

NEW YORK

New York JFK – Amsterdam

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 24-31
  • February (2017) 1-17, 19-28
  • March (2017) 1, 2, 4-11, 13-24, 27-30

Carriers: Delta Air Lines, KLM
Price: $438

Thoughts: $1 off the low-water mark on JFK-AMS.

New York JFK – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 24-31
  • Any date in February
  • March (2017) 1-24

Carriers: American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Virgin Atlantic Airways
Price: $553

Thoughts: More expensive than last week, but the extensive range of dates and still sub-$600 fare makes this a very good deal.

New York JFK – Oslo

Leave on:

  • December 2, 6
  • January 13, 2017
  • February 5, 2017

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $297

Thoughts: A slight increase in price over last week, but I’m bullish that there will be more dates and lower prices in due course.

New York JFK – Stockholm

Leave on:

  • February 3, 2017

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $284

Thoughts: $1 off last week, and the number of dates and price are likely to improve as we get into late fall.

New York JFK and Newark – Tokyo

Leave on:

  • October 26, 27, 31
  • November 1-3, 8, 9, 14, 16, 22, 24, 28-30
  • December 1, 5, 6
  • January (2017) 10-12, 16-19, 23-26, 30, 31
  • February (2017) 1, 2, 6-9, 13-16, 20-23, 27, 28
  • March (2017) 1,2, 6-9, 13-16, 20-23

Carrier: All Nippon Airways, United Airlines
Price: $688

Thoughts: For some reason, flights from the U.S. to Tokyo are more expensive than flights from the U.S. to other Asian destinations. That said, this is an excellent price, so if you can get to Newark and through security by 11 a.m. today when this flight leaves…and have a week off…then this is a potential investment. (112% kidding.)

Hump Day Fare Hacks: October 19, 2016

Norwegian Index for October 19, 2016: 292.0

The Norwegian Index matched its all-time low, but the real story of the week is the legacy carriers.

Yesterday, I discovered that BOS-LHR had hit the lowest I’d ever seen, at $499.96 on British Airways. However, that wasn’t even the most incredible legacy deal that I found this week, as there were three even cheaper: JFK-CDG on American ($357), BOS-MUC on Lufthansa ($489), and JFK-MXP and EWR-MXP on Delta, Emirates, and United ($496).

In addition to Brexit, there are myriad factors playing into the emergence of this new reality. For one, low-cost carriers like Norwegian are certainly increasing competition on routes, affecting a number of markets in ways never seen before. Another change is that fuel prices have fallen significantly in the last year, making it cheaper for planes to fly. Moreover, airlines are implementing more fuel-efficient aircraft such as the Airbus A350 and Boeing 787 Dreamliner, which will help carriers realize both short-term and long-term fuel savings.

Though I’m not sure if the drop in prices is primarily due to positive changes such as a decrease in operating expenses, or (from the airlines’ perspective) negative changes such as competition from Norwegian, WOW Air, et al, one thing is for certain: travelers are the ones to benefit.

Note: All routes profiled are based on a 7-day round trip (departing and arriving the same day a week apart), unless otherwise noted. That said, I strongly encourage you to play with a variety of dates and trip lengths and see what you can find.

BOSTON

Boston – Amsterdam

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 5, 11-24, 27-30
  • February (2017) 2, 4-16, 20, 21, 24-28
  • March (2017) 1, 4-9, 11-25, 28-31
  • April (2017) 3-6

Carrier: Delta Air Lines
Price: $548

Thoughts: Flights between the U.S. and Amsterdam have traditionally been very expensive. And while the New York flights to the Dutch capital were the first to decrease in price, it appears that BOS-AMS is following suit.

Boston – London Gatwick

Leave on:

  • December 4
  • January (2017) 15, 16, 18, 20, 22, 23, 25, 27, 29, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 13, 20, 22, 26, 27
  • March (2017) 1, 6, 20, 22

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $324

Thoughts: A new low-water mark for this route. It doesn’t have the same number of dates as the route profiled below, but it’s an exceptional price for those looking to score a deal.

Boston – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • November 16, 22-24, 26-30
  • December 1-8, 12, 13, 18, 30, 31
  • January (2017) 5-31
  • February (2017) 1, 2, 6-28
  • March (2017) 1-24

Carrier: British Airways
Price: $499.96

Thoughts: Normally I round up to the nearest dollar, as that’s what Google Flights generally does, but BOS-LHR being less than $500 round trip is such a low price that it absolutely had to be conveyed in its exact form.

Boston – Munich

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 17-31
  • February (2017) 1, 2, 4-15, 21-28
  • March (2017) 1-3, 6-9, 13-18, 24, 25, 31

Carrier: Lufthansa
Price: $489

Thoughts: I was pretty pessimistic on the potential longevity of this price last week ($490), but it’s gone down by a dollar, so what do I know?

Boston – Paris

Leave on:

  • November 16, 21, 23, 26-30
  • December 1-8, 11-13
  • January (2017) 9-12, 15-17, 19-24, 26-31
  • February (2017) 20, 21, 23-28
  • March (2017) 1, 2, 5
  • April (2017) 5, 6

Carrier: Air France
Price: $551

Thoughts: Another lower-than-normal price by a legacy carrier on a traditionally expensive route.

NEW YORK

New York JFK – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 21, 28
  • February (2017) 4, 11, 18, 25
  • March (2017) 4, 11, 18

Carriers: Delta Air Lines, Virgin Atlantic Airways
Price: $514

Thoughts: While this week does represent a shift in the available dates for the lowest price, there are still a number of April and May dates for even cheaper than last week’s lowest price. Things are looking good, New Yorkers.

New York JFK and Newark – Milan

Leave on:

  • October 26
  • November 2, 8, 9, 15, 16, 22, 23, 29, 30
  • December 6, 7, 13

Carriers: Delta Air Lines (JFK), Emirates (JFK), United Airlines (EWR)
Price: $496

Thoughts: If it was just Emirates offering this fare, I’d say that it was likely a fare sale, as it’s extremely rare for the world’s #1 airline (according to Skytrax) to charge so little. But since three carriers are offering the fare, it may well be a shift in the market.

Note: Not all three airlines will necessarily be offering that fare for all of those dates. However, those are the dates when flights between New York (including EWR) and Milan are running for $496 round trip.

New York JFK – Oslo

Leave on:

  • February (2017) 5, 7

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $282

Thoughts: I would anticipate that the number of available dates will expand in due course.

New York JFK – Paris

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 17-27, 30, 31
  • February (2017) 1-3, 5-11, 13-15, 20-28
  • March (2017) 6, 8, 15, 22, 28, 29

Carrier: American Airlines
Price: $357

Thoughts: Having put forth the lowest price I’d ever seen American charge for a transatlantic route last week ($433), the carrier went and lowered the price by a further $76, beating the pants off of even Norwegian. I believe “floored” is the term that best describes my reaction.

New York JFK – Stockholm

Leave on:

  • February (2017) 3, 6

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $285

Thoughts: The same sentiment expressed in the JFK-OSL deal applies here.

Hump Day Fare Hacks: October 12, 2016

Norwegian Index for October 12, 2016: 300.0

The Norwegian Index fell 6.8 points from last week, which is quite surprising given that 25% of the calculation is derived from BOS-OSL, whose last remaining departure dates of the season are extremely close (and, thus, are more expensive). However, with Norwegian scheduled to restart BOS-CPH and BOS-OSL services again next spring after a successful first year, I’m curious to see what kind of prices will be offered for those routes.

British Airways lowered the price on its BOS-LHR route to $503, which is barely believable as – in the past year – BOS-LHR has hovered anywhere between $800 and $1,000. Though I’m sure that low fuel prices have something to do with it, I would also imagine that the pound falling 18% against the dollar since Britain’s vote to leave the European Union probably has something to do with it. I had expected flights to LHR to cheapen following Brexit, and while prices stayed consistently high for a month or two, it seems that they are falling now. Perhaps the effects of Brexit on airfares took longer to set in than we thought. I can’t say I agree with Britain’s decision, but I’m certainly not complaining as an American traveler!

Even so, I think there was something even more noteworthy that happened  this week: American Airlines’ willingness to sell JFK-CDG for $433 round trip. Of course, Norwegian Air Shuttle has sold flights on that route for less than $400, but the fact that a legacy carrier is putting forth such a price on a traditionally expensive and competitive route is unbelievable. Again, I think it’s still too early to tell if this is an aberration or the start of a new trend, but maybe the collateral impacts of Brexit have been more than anticipated.

Note: All routes profiled are based on a 7-day round trip (departing and arriving the same day a week apart), unless otherwise noted. That said, I strongly encourage you to play with a variety of dates and trip lengths and see what you can find.

BOSTON

Boston – Lisbon

Leave on:

  • January 26, 2017
  • February 2, 2017
  • March 16, 2017

Carrier: TAP Portugal
Price: $576

Thoughts: While only available on a narrow range of dates, this is the lowest that I’ve seen TAP’s BOS-LIS flights go for.

Boston – London Gatwick

Leave on:

  • December 4
  • January (2017) 15, 16, 18, 20, 22, 23, 25, 27, 29, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 13, 20, 22, 26, 27
  • March (2017) 1, 6, 20, 22

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $324

Thoughts: Even with the lowering of fares on British Airways’ BOS-LHR route, Norwegian is still going to fight for the Boston to London marketshare. And while Norwegian and its BOS-LGW route – in all likelihood – won’t have the same demand or resources as its BOS-LHR counterparts, it’ll certainly attract people with its low fares.

Boston – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • November 9-16, 21-26, 28-30
  • December 1-9, 12, 13, 18, 19, 27, 31
  • January (2017) 1, 2, 5-31
  • February (2017) 1, 2, 6-28
  • March (2017) 1-24

Carrier: British Airways
Price: $503

Thoughts: Could it break the $500 mark? I personally would bet against it, as I could never have fathomed BOS-LHR flights going that low, but I hope I’m wrong!

Boston – Munich

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 11-31
  • February (2017) 1, 2, 4-15, 21-24, 26-28
  • March (2017) 1-3, 6-9, 13-18, 24, 25, 31

Carrier: Lufthansa
Price: $490

Thoughts: Good deal? Absolutely. New normal? Probably not.

Boston – Oslo

Leave on: October 21 (return October 29)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $321

Thoughts: This is a great use of your money (if you’ve got nothing to do for a week starting next Friday).

NEW YORK

New York JFK and Newark – Amsterdam

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 11-31
  • Any date in February
  • Any date in March

Carriers: Delta Air Lines (JFK), KLM (JFK), United Airlines (EWR)
Price: $439

Thoughts: Now the entire month of March is available for $439. Still don’t get it.

New York JFK – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • April (2017) 1-12, 14, 15, 17-30
  • May (2017) 1-10

Carriers: Delta Air Lines, Virgin Atlantic Airways
Price: $519

Thoughts: No big deal – DL and VS just went ahead and took $73 off of last week’s fare.

New York JFK – Oslo

Leave on:

  • February (2017) 5, 7

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $281

Thoughts: It’s a small range of dates, and it might not be the preferable time of year given the destination, but it’s also cheaper than you’d probably find a flight to the West Coast for.

New York JFK – Paris

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 11-28, 30, 31
  • February (2017) 1-3, 5-17, 20-28
  • March (2017) 5, 6, 8, 9, 14-16, 22, 29

Carrier: American Airlines
Price: $433

Thoughts: Norwegian has put forth some impressive prices on JFK-CDG, but the fact that American is selling a direct transatlantic flight for $433 round trip is insane. Maybe the increased level of competition is finally starting to show?

New York JFK – Stockholm

Leave on:

  • February (2017) 1, 3, 6, 8

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $274

Thoughts: The statement immediately preceding this one applies here as well.