Hump Day Fare Hacks: October 19, 2016

Norwegian Index for October 19, 2016: 292.0

The Norwegian Index matched its all-time low, but the real story of the week is the legacy carriers.

Yesterday, I discovered that BOS-LHR had hit the lowest I’d ever seen, at $499.96 on British Airways. However, that wasn’t even the most incredible legacy deal that I found this week, as there were three even cheaper: JFK-CDG on American ($357), BOS-MUC on Lufthansa ($489), and JFK-MXP and EWR-MXP on Delta, Emirates, and United ($496).

In addition to Brexit, there are myriad factors playing into the emergence of this new reality. For one, low-cost carriers like Norwegian are certainly increasing competition on routes, affecting a number of markets in ways never seen before. Another change is that fuel prices have fallen significantly in the last year, making it cheaper for planes to fly. Moreover, airlines are implementing more fuel-efficient aircraft such as the Airbus A350 and Boeing 787 Dreamliner, which will help carriers realize both short-term and long-term fuel savings.

Though I’m not sure if the drop in prices is primarily due to positive changes such as a decrease in operating expenses, or (from the airlines’ perspective) negative changes such as competition from Norwegian, WOW Air, et al, one thing is for certain: travelers are the ones to benefit.

Note: All routes profiled are based on a 7-day round trip (departing and arriving the same day a week apart), unless otherwise noted. That said, I strongly encourage you to play with a variety of dates and trip lengths and see what you can find.

BOSTON

Boston – Amsterdam

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 5, 11-24, 27-30
  • February (2017) 2, 4-16, 20, 21, 24-28
  • March (2017) 1, 4-9, 11-25, 28-31
  • April (2017) 3-6

Carrier: Delta Air Lines
Price: $548

Thoughts: Flights between the U.S. and Amsterdam have traditionally been very expensive. And while the New York flights to the Dutch capital were the first to decrease in price, it appears that BOS-AMS is following suit.

Boston – London Gatwick

Leave on:

  • December 4
  • January (2017) 15, 16, 18, 20, 22, 23, 25, 27, 29, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 13, 20, 22, 26, 27
  • March (2017) 1, 6, 20, 22

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $324

Thoughts: A new low-water mark for this route. It doesn’t have the same number of dates as the route profiled below, but it’s an exceptional price for those looking to score a deal.

Boston – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • November 16, 22-24, 26-30
  • December 1-8, 12, 13, 18, 30, 31
  • January (2017) 5-31
  • February (2017) 1, 2, 6-28
  • March (2017) 1-24

Carrier: British Airways
Price: $499.96

Thoughts: Normally I round up to the nearest dollar, as that’s what Google Flights generally does, but BOS-LHR being less than $500 round trip is such a low price that it absolutely had to be conveyed in its exact form.

Boston – Munich

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 17-31
  • February (2017) 1, 2, 4-15, 21-28
  • March (2017) 1-3, 6-9, 13-18, 24, 25, 31

Carrier: Lufthansa
Price: $489

Thoughts: I was pretty pessimistic on the potential longevity of this price last week ($490), but it’s gone down by a dollar, so what do I know?

Boston – Paris

Leave on:

  • November 16, 21, 23, 26-30
  • December 1-8, 11-13
  • January (2017) 9-12, 15-17, 19-24, 26-31
  • February (2017) 20, 21, 23-28
  • March (2017) 1, 2, 5
  • April (2017) 5, 6

Carrier: Air France
Price: $551

Thoughts: Another lower-than-normal price by a legacy carrier on a traditionally expensive route.

NEW YORK

New York JFK – London Heathrow

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 21, 28
  • February (2017) 4, 11, 18, 25
  • March (2017) 4, 11, 18

Carriers: Delta Air Lines, Virgin Atlantic Airways
Price: $514

Thoughts: While this week does represent a shift in the available dates for the lowest price, there are still a number of April and May dates for even cheaper than last week’s lowest price. Things are looking good, New Yorkers.

New York JFK and Newark – Milan

Leave on:

  • October 26
  • November 2, 8, 9, 15, 16, 22, 23, 29, 30
  • December 6, 7, 13

Carriers: Delta Air Lines (JFK), Emirates (JFK), United Airlines (EWR)
Price: $496

Thoughts: If it was just Emirates offering this fare, I’d say that it was likely a fare sale, as it’s extremely rare for the world’s #1 airline (according to Skytrax) to charge so little. But since three carriers are offering the fare, it may well be a shift in the market.

Note: Not all three airlines will necessarily be offering that fare for all of those dates. However, those are the dates when flights between New York (including EWR) and Milan are running for $496 round trip.

New York JFK – Oslo

Leave on:

  • February (2017) 5, 7

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $282

Thoughts: I would anticipate that the number of available dates will expand in due course.

New York JFK – Paris

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 17-27, 30, 31
  • February (2017) 1-3, 5-11, 13-15, 20-28
  • March (2017) 6, 8, 15, 22, 28, 29

Carrier: American Airlines
Price: $357

Thoughts: Having put forth the lowest price I’d ever seen American charge for a transatlantic route last week ($433), the carrier went and lowered the price by a further $76, beating the pants off of even Norwegian. I believe “floored” is the term that best describes my reaction.

New York JFK – Stockholm

Leave on:

  • February (2017) 3, 6

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $285

Thoughts: The same sentiment expressed in the JFK-OSL deal applies here.

Hump Day Fare Hacks: August 10, 2016

While many of the usual suspects stuck around this week, there are a couple of new fares to look at that — I think — represent very good value. For one, TAP Portugal is now offering flights direct from Boston to Lisbon for less than $700 round trip. TAP’s co-owner, David Neeleman, is the former CEO of jetBlue, and his track record speaks for itself. Additionally, New York to Brussels for less than $500 is a very good price, and is something worth looking at if you’re looking to travel around Belgium and the surrounding countries. Yet those two deals aren’t the only ones worth looking at — even under the umbrella of “already existing” deals, there are still many that represent excellent value: perhaps

Though I can’t say that there were any new deals that truly jumped out at me in the way that the EWR-HKG on United for $488 a few weeks back did, this week still has three sub-$300 fares. And the fact that those fares aren’t complete anomalies anymore has me continually rethinking the possibility of whether Norwegian’s low fares are becoming the “new normal.” Can’t say I’d be against it.

Note: All routes profiled are based on a 7-day round trip (departing and arriving the same day a week apart), unless otherwise noted. That said, I strongly encourage you to play with a variety of dates and trip lengths and see what you can find.

 

BOSTON

 

Boston – Copenhagen

Leave on:

  • October 4, 11, 18 (return October 13, 20, 27)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $305

Thoughts: I’d be very curious to see if this route dips below $300 round trip. While the narrowing of available dates and the fact that it’s a seasonal service makes it unlikely, it could well happen next year.

 

Boston – Lisbon

Leave on:

  • September 5, 6, 8, 12, 13, 19-22, 27-29
  • October 1, 3-6, 10-24
  • January (2017) 9, 11-13, 15, 16, 18-20, 22, 23, 25-27, 29, 30
  • February (2017) 1-3, 5, 6, 8-10, 12, 13, 15-17, 19, 22-24, 26
  • March (2017) 1-3, 5, 8-10, 12, 15-17, 19, 22-24, 26, 28, 29

Carrier: TAP Portugal
Price: $629

Thoughts: TAP Portugal, which happens to be Portugal’s flag carrier, is one of the newest carriers at Logan, and is supposed to be good from what I’m observed. In addition to the range of dates advertised, there are a number of dates in November and December available for just a dollar more round trip (so, $630). Lisbon is said to be a great destination for fall, winter, and spring travel, so this seems worth a punt.

 

Boston – London Gatwick

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 9, 11, 13, 15, 16, 18, 20, 22, 23, 25, 27, 29, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 10, 12, 13, 15, 20, 22, 24, 26, 27
  • March (2017) 1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 13, 15, 17

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $336

Thoughts: A slight narrowing of available dates, but a $4 price drop versus a high intrinsic value on the Boston to London market still makes this an excellent deal.

 

Boston – Oslo

Leave on:

  • September 30 (return October 8)

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $285

Thoughts: This $16 price increase from last week shouldn’t scare you off (there’s also the option of October 4-12 for $1 more). What it does do, however, is — along with the narrowing of available dates for the lowest fare — reinforce that these sub-$300 prices won’t be around forever. Still, absolutely incredible value for your money!

 

Boston – Tel Aviv

Leave on:

  • November 24, 26 (return December 1, 3)

Carrier: El Al
Price: $650

Thoughts: The two days among a number of more expensive dates makes this price a true “fare hack.”

 

NEW YORK

 

Newark – Amsterdam

Leave on:

  • November 9-18, 20-30
  • December 1-15

Carrier: United Airlines
Price: $461

Thoughts: $1 less than last week’s price on a normally-expensive route. Worth the investment for those looking to check out the Netherlands.

 

New York JFK and Newark – Brussels

Leave on:

  • November 9-13, 16, 17, 19-30
  • December 1-15

Carrier: Brussels Airlines, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines
Price: $485

Thoughts: A very solid deal on a market that typically runs expensive, although not as expensive as Amsterdam.

 

New York JFK – Hong Kong

Leave on:

  • October 25-27, 31
  • November 1, 2, 8, 9, 15-17, 21-24, 28-30
  • December 1, 5-7

Carrier: Cathay Pacific
Price: $554

Thoughts: A number of dates for a fare that represents incredible value. Can’t believe that it’s lasted this long.

 

 

New York JFK – Oslo

Leave on:

  • December 2
  • January (2017) 13, 17, 19, 20, 22, 24, 26, 27, 31
  • February (2017) 3, 5, 16, 17

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $280

Thoughts: Norway has overtaken Sweden (at least in terms of who has the cheapest Hump Day Fare Hacks destination) this week. A decent selection of dates.

 

New York JFK – Stockholm

Leave on:

  • January (2017) 16, 18, 20, 21, 25, 27, 28, 30
  • February (2017) 1, 3, 4, 6, 8, 11, 13, 15, 20, 25, 27

Carrier: Norwegian Air Shuttle
Price: $281

Thoughts: Same dates. Same price. Same great deal.